Omiya Ardija 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
2.33/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.46
+43% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.05.2024 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-2 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
08.11.2015 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
06.06.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-0 HT 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-0
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija nicked a narrow win over Kamatamare Sanuki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 55% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 45%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Omiya Ardija and 0.33 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Omiya Ardija 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki in the Japan - J3 League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 47%, draw 25%, Kamatamare Sanuki 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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