FC Gifu 1-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +12%
1.49/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.84
+13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Nara Club
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
22.10.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-3 HT 0-2 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
09.07.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
1-1
AWAY Nara Club
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu and Nara Club couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Gifu had 54% of the ball to Nara Club's 46%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nara Club led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Gifu and 2.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Nara Club?

FC Gifu 1-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gifu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 40%, draw 29%, Nara Club 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Gifu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Gifu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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