Pacific FC 4-4 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.53/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.84
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.1 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
340 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
15.09.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
12.08.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
28.06.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
26.05.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
01.10.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
4-4
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.68 xG 2.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 10
249 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC and Vancouver FC couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pacific FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pacific FC had 41% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 59%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.68 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pacific FC and 1.33 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC?

Pacific FC 4-4 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 46%, draw 26%, Vancouver FC 28%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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