Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.53
No
35%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.5pp
35%
BTTS No
39%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.96/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.71
+28% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
254 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Nevezis
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 6-0 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
29.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
22.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
03.06.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-2
AWAY Nevezis
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II and Nevezis shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 55% of the ball to Nevezis's 45%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 2.75 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Nevezis?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 41%, draw 23%, Nevezis 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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