Nevezis 6-0 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.63/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.01
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
22.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
03.06.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis swept aside Kauno Zalgiris II 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nevezis as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nevezis and 1.67 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Nevezis 6-0 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 51%, draw 28%, Kauno Zalgiris II 21%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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