Be1 NFA 3-1 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.94
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.4pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.1pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.5pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +13%
2.54/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.82
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / -22%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
553 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-0 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
20.08.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 3-1 HT 2-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
02.04.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-2 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
07.11.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
03.07.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
3-1
AWAY Panevezys II
62% Ball Possession 38%
31 Total Shots 9
15 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA saw off Panevezys II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 62% of the ball to Panevezys II's 38%, shots finished 31-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Be1 NFA and 0.80 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Panevezys II?

Be1 NFA 3-1 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 68%, draw 18%, Panevezys II 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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