Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-11.7pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
2.39/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.58
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
4W-1D-0L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
20.08.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
02.04.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-1 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
21.10.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
19.06.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda nicked a narrow win over FA Siauliai II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.60 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs FA Siauliai II?

Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 64%, draw 20%, FA Siauliai II 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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