Babrungas 3-1 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.25/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.58
+35% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
4W-0D-2L
AWAY BFA
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 BFA BFA 3-2 HT 1-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
26.08.2023 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
07.04.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 4-1 HT 2-0 BFA BFA LIT1
09.11.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 2-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
18.06.2022 BFA BFA 0-3 HT 0-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
24.10.2021 Babrungas Babrungas 1-3 HT 0-2 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas saw off BFA 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Babrungas and 1.50 for BFA.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs BFA?

Babrungas 3-1 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 52%, draw 26%, BFA 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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