BFA 1-0 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

BFA
1-0 HT 0-0
Atmosfera
📅28/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2025

BFA vs Atmosfera Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BFA v Atmosfera — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.82/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.71
+82% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

BFA vs Atmosfera Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Atmosfera
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.10.2024 BFA BFA 0-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
25.05.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-1 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
29.10.2022 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
23.06.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH BFA vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA edged past Atmosfera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atmosfera led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for BFA and 1.25 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of BFA vs Atmosfera?

BFA 1-0 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split BFA 41%, draw 31%, Atmosfera 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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