Hodd 3-1 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.89/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.86
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Mjondalen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
05.08.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 1-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
04.06.2023 Hodd Hodd 1-2 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
25.08.2016 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
30.06.2016 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
24.06.2015 Mjondalen Mjondalen 4-0 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOK
27.07.2014 Hodd Hodd 1-4 HT 0-2 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd beat Mjondalen 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hodd and 2.83 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Mjondalen?

Hodd 3-1 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hodd 49%, draw 27%, Mjondalen 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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