Moss 2-4 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.17
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 40%
+24% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.00/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.58
+29% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Egersunds
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 3-2 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
27.04.2024 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 1-1 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
08.10.2022 Egersunds Egersunds 2-2 HT 1-1 Moss Moss NOR3
26.06.2022 Moss Moss 2-0 HT 1-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR3
POST-MATCH Moss vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds beat Moss 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Egersunds made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Egersunds led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Moss and 1.75 for Egersunds.

What was the final score of Moss vs Egersunds?

Moss 2-4 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Moss 41%, draw 22%, Egersunds 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Moss) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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