Kongsvinger 2-2 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.2
2-3 Goals
44%
2.1
4-5 Goals
22%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
4.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +26%
2.17/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.59
+6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
405 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Raufoss
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 1-1 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
11.05.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-1 HT 0-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
06.08.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-3 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
21.05.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-2 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
22.08.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
15.05.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 4-1 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger and Raufoss couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kongsvinger at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.17 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Raufoss?

Kongsvinger 2-2 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 51%, draw 23%, Raufoss 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongsvinger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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