Nardo 6-0 Surnadal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
82%
-10.9pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.9pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Surnadal EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
3.81/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.52
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +118%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
431 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.9
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Surnadal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo ran out comfortable winners over Surnadal 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nardo as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Surnadal?

Nardo 6-0 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Surnadal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Nardo 71%, draw 16%, Surnadal 13%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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