Tiller 1-3 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.4
Draw
13%
4.95
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+12.1pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.7pp
60%
Away Win
69%
-9.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.3pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 75%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.49/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.47/1.93
-3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -36%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
256 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiller
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 1-2 HT 0-2 Tiller Tiller NOR4
20.05.2024 Tiller Tiller 0-2 HT 0-1 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
01.10.2022 Tiller Tiller 1-0 HT 1-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tiller
1-3
AWAY Trygg/Lade
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade saw off Tiller 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trygg/Lade as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tiller had 42% of the ball to Trygg/Lade's 58%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tiller had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tiller and 1.00 for Trygg/Lade.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Trygg/Lade?

Tiller 1-3 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tiller 27%, draw 13%, Trygg/Lade 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trygg/Lade), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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