Trygg/Lade 1-2 Tiller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
16%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
16%
Away Win
23%
-7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiller EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.23/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.83
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tiller
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Tiller Tiller 0-2 HT 0-1 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
01.10.2022 Tiller Tiller 1-0 HT 1-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Tiller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiller nicked a narrow win over Trygg/Lade 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Trygg/Lade carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trygg/Lade and 0.50 for Tiller.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Tiller?

Trygg/Lade 1-2 Tiller in the Norway - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Tiller?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 59%, draw 25%, Tiller 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trygg/Lade) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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