Frigg vs Baerum Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frigg v Baerum — Team-Based Signals
Frigg vs Baerum Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Frigg
NOR3
4-1
HT 2-0
Baerum
NOR3
3-2
HT 1-0
Frigg
HAZ
Frigg 3-4 Baerum — Actual Match Statistics
Baerum nicked a narrow win over Frigg 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Frigg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Frigg had 52% of the ball to Baerum's 48%, shots finished 10-17.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Frigg and 2.20 for Baerum.
What was the final score of Frigg vs Baerum?
Frigg 3-4 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frigg vs Baerum?
Before kick-off our model rated a Frigg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Frigg 42%, draw 22%, Baerum 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frigg) went the other way.