Frigg 3-3 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2024

Frigg
3-3 HT 2-1
Baerum
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.46
Over 2.5
63%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.31
No
40%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
8.62
2-3 Goals
41%
2.38
4-5 Goals
30%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
3.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
25%
+11.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
75%
-11.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.5pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frigg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frigg
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Baerum
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Baerum Baerum 1-3 HT 1-2 Frigg Frigg NOR4
01.10.2022 Baerum Baerum 3-0 HT 0-0 Frigg Frigg NOR3
30.04.2022 Frigg Frigg 4-1 HT 2-0 Baerum Baerum NOR3
20.01.2018 Baerum Baerum 3-2 HT 1-0 Frigg Frigg HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frigg
3-3
AWAY Baerum
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Frigg vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frigg and Baerum couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Frigg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Frigg had 57% of the ball to Baerum's 43%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Frigg and 2.00 for Baerum.

What was the final score of Frigg vs Baerum?

Frigg 3-3 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frigg vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frigg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Frigg 44%, draw 19%, Baerum 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frigg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frigg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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