Dalian Zhixing 1-4 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.96
Over 2.5
47%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
6.91
2-3 Goals
44%
2.15
4-5 Goals
20%
2.32
6+ Goals
9%
4.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.91 — our 27% vs market 9.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.89
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
10%
11.6
X/1
10%
5.86
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
7.11
X/X
12%
6.47
2/1
5%
19.65
2/2
14%
3.91
2/X
7%
11.85
Value flag · X/2 at 7.11 — our 15% vs market 10.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
30%
+22.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
70%
-22.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.5pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.28/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.60
-21% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
25.6 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.35 xG 2.85
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
261 Passes 468
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2026 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 5-3 HT 3-1 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
26.10.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 HT 1-2 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
17.05.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-3 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1-4
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 2
355 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua cruised past Dalian Zhixing 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Shanghai Shenhua made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 58% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 42%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dalian Zhixing and 3.33 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Dalian Zhixing 1-4 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 37%, draw 29%, Shanghai Shenhua 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dalian Zhixing), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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