Sheger Ketema 2-0 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheger Ketema EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.53/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.01
-44% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheger Ketema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mekelakeya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.01.2026 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheger Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheger Ketema
2-0
AWAY Mekelakeya
26% Ball Possession 74%
4 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheger Ketema got the better of Mekelakeya 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sheger Ketema had 26% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 74%, shots finished 4-2.

What was the final score of Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya?

Sheger Ketema 2-0 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sheger Ketema 29%, draw 30%, Mekelakeya 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mekelakeya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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