Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
26%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
35%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.83/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.06
-11% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.01.2026 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 2-0 HT 0-0 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
09.04.2025 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
01.11.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-2 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl and Awassa Kenema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 35% / 26% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 49% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 51%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mebrat Hayl and 1.33 for Awassa Kenema.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema?

Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mebrat Hayl win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 39%, draw 35%, Awassa Kenema 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mebrat Hayl), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mebrat Hayl) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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