Awassa Kenema 2-0 Mebrat Hayl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
35%
2.66
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
35%
Draw
34%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.9pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.99/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.72
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2025 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
01.11.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-2 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
2-0
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema got the better of Mebrat Hayl 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day Awassa Kenema made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 36% of the ball to Mebrat Hayl's 64%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mebrat Hayl led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Awassa Kenema and 1.50 for Mebrat Hayl.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Awassa Kenema 2-0 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 36%, draw 35%, Mebrat Hayl 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Awassa Kenema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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