Colo Colo 2-1 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.58/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.23
-6% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.3 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colo Colo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY O Higgins
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
308 Passes 234
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 1-0 HT 1-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
15.07.2023 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-0 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
30.01.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 5-1 HT 0-1 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
30.10.2022 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
22.05.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 1-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
09.09.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 2-3 HT 1-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colo Colo
2-1
AWAY O Higgins
1.99 xG 0.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
352 Passes 207
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
12 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colo Colo vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colo Colo edged past O Higgins 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colo Colo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Colo Colo had 58% of the ball to O Higgins's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.99 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colo Colo's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colo Colo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colo Colo and 1.50 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Colo Colo vs O Higgins?

Colo Colo 2-1 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colo Colo vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Colo Colo 52%, draw 24%, O Higgins 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colo Colo) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
28 Jul 2024
22:00 Nublense vs U. Catolica Analysis →