Ajka 0-1 Szentlorinc SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Szentlorinc SE EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.63/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.32
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Szentlorinc SE
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2023 Ajka Ajka 0-2 HT 0-1 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE MAC2
13.11.2022 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE 2-3 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
17.09.2022 Ajka Ajka 3-0 HT 2-0 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE MACK
17.04.2022 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
31.10.2021 Ajka Ajka 3-1 HT 2-1 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE MAC2
10.03.2021 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
0-1
AWAY Szentlorinc SE
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Szentlorinc SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Szentlorinc SE nicked a narrow win over Ajka 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ajka had 50% of the ball to Szentlorinc SE's 50%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajka had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ajka and 0.83 for Szentlorinc SE.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Szentlorinc SE?

Ajka 0-1 Szentlorinc SE in the Hungary - NB II on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Szentlorinc SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ajka 48%, draw 28%, Szentlorinc SE 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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