Budafoki MTE 3-3 Budapest Honved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.06/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.15
-8% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budafoki MTE
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Budapest Honved
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-0 HT 0-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
28.09.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 2-2 HT 1-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
02.05.2021 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-1 HT 0-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
13.02.2021 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 2-3 HT 2-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC
23.12.2020 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 1-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
POST-MATCH Budafoki MTE vs Budapest Honved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budafoki MTE and Budapest Honved shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Budafoki MTE and 1.40 for Budapest Honved.

What was the final score of Budafoki MTE vs Budapest Honved?

Budafoki MTE 3-3 Budapest Honved in the Hungary - NB II on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budafoki MTE vs Budapest Honved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Budapest Honved win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Budafoki MTE 36%, draw 27%, Budapest Honved 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Budapest Honved), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Budapest Honved) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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