Budapest Vasas 3-1 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+143% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Kisvarda
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-1 HT 1-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC
25.02.2023 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-2 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
08.10.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-0 HT 2-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC
20.07.2019 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-2 HT 1-2 Kisvarda Kisvarda HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Vasas
3-1
AWAY Kisvarda
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas saw off Kisvarda 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Budapest Vasas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budapest Vasas had 50% of the ball to Kisvarda's 50%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kisvarda led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Budapest Vasas and 2.00 for Kisvarda.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs Kisvarda?

Budapest Vasas 3-1 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB II on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 48%, draw 25%, Kisvarda 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Vasas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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