Yeni Zelanda (K) 0-2 Kolombiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 28 Jul 2024

Yeni Zelanda (K)
0-2 HT 0-1
Kolombiya (K)
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Olympics – 2024

Yeni Zelanda (K) vs Kolombiya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.65
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.43
6+ Goals
6%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 42% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
6.72
1/2
3%
27.5
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
9%
8.02
X/2
28%
3.95
X/X
20%
4.3
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.52
2/X
3%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yeni Zelanda (K) v Kolombiya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Zelanda (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
222 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Yeni Zelanda (K) vs Kolombiya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Zelanda (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
05.12.2023 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) Yeni Zelanda (K) HAZ
03.12.2023 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) Yeni Zelanda (K) HAZ

Yeni Zelanda (K) 0-2 Kolombiya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Zelanda (K)
0-2
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
0.18 xG 1.69
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
219 Passes 477
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Yeni Zelanda (K) vs Kolombiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya (K) got the better of Yeni Zelanda (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kolombiya (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Yeni Zelanda (K) had 36% of the ball to Kolombiya (K)'s 64%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.18 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kolombiya (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Yeni Zelanda (K) and 0.50 for Kolombiya (K).

What was the final score of Yeni Zelanda (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Yeni Zelanda (K) 0-2 Kolombiya (K) in the Olympics on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Zelanda (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolombiya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yeni Zelanda (K) 23%, draw 29%, Kolombiya (K) 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
OLY More Olympics
28 Jul 2024
18:00 Brezilya (K) vs Japonya (K) Analysis →
20:00 Avustralya (K) vs Zambiya (K) Analysis →
22:00 Fransa (K) vs Kanada (K) Analysis →
22:00 ABD (K) vs Almanya (K) Analysis →