Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
13%
6.95
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.42
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.4
X/1
11%
4.6
X/2
16%
6.63
X/X
14%
3.25
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
7%
5.92
2/X
8%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.9pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.05/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.36
-12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
15.2 Crosses 15.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.53 xG 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
102 Passes 332
51% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.02.2025 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
18.10.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
19.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
2.00 xG 0.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
159 Passes 306
56% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tucuman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Deportivo Riestra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 40% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.00 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo Riestra's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Riestra had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Riestra and 0.00 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Tucuman?

Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Riestra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 40%, draw 30%, Atletico Tucuman 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Riestra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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