River Plate 0-0 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.67
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.04
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.25
X/1
21%
3.64
X/2
9%
12.35
X/X
10%
4.07
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
11%
12.4
2/X
8%
22.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.2pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.87/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.10
+15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
23.5 Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
3W-3D-0L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.28 xG 0.75
63% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
448 Passes 213
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
05.12.2024 River Plate River Plate 1-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
09.07.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
18.09.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
05.03.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
18.10.2021 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
0-0
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.69 xG 0.33
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 6
532 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 7
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH River Plate vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate and San Lorenzo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, River Plate had 70% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 30%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.69 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for River Plate and 0.33 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of River Plate vs San Lorenzo?

River Plate 0-0 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split River Plate 50%, draw 25%, San Lorenzo 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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