Koper 2-0 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.80/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.54
+6% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
1W-2D-1L
AWAY ND Primorje
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
05.03.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-1 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
19.10.2024 Koper Koper 3-4 HT 1-3 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
03.08.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-2 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
2-0
AWAY ND Primorje
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Koper vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper got the better of ND Primorje 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Koper had 51% of the ball to ND Primorje's 49%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Koper and 1.50 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Koper vs ND Primorje?

Koper 2-0 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Koper 46%, draw 27%, ND Primorje 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →