Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 28 Jul 2026

Shamrock Rovers
2-1 HT 2-0
Ararat-Armenia
📅28/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Champions League – 2026/2027

Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shamrock Rovers v Ararat-Armenia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ararat-Armenia EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.41/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-82% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ararat-Armenia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2026 Ararat-Armenia 2-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers ŞMP

Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-1
AWAY Ararat-Armenia
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers nicked a narrow win over Ararat-Armenia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia?

Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia in the Champions League on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 53%, draw 25%, Ararat-Armenia 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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