Celje 2-2 Egnatia Rrogozhine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 28 Jul 2026

📅28/07/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Egnatia Rrogozhine EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +75%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Egnatia Rrogozhine
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2026 Egnatia Rrogozhine Egnatia Rrogozhine 3-3 HT 1-1 Celje Celje ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-2
AWAY Egnatia Rrogozhine
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje and Egnatia Rrogozhine shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Celje carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhine?

Celje 2-2 Egnatia Rrogozhine in the Champions League on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Celje 55%, draw 24%, Egnatia Rrogozhine 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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