Cagliari 1-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jul 2026

Cagliari
1-0 HT 0-0
Modena
📅28/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Friendlies – 2026

Cagliari vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.23
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
21%
4.05
X/2
12%
9.41
X/X
9%
4.51
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
8%
8.05
2/X
8%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cagliari v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-63% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Cagliari vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Modena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
294 Passes 299
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2023 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
02.09.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
26.03.2016 Modena Modena 1-2 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
07.11.2015 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 2-1 Modena Modena İTB
04.12.2014 Cagliari Cagliari 2-2 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTK
17.03.2002 Cagliari Cagliari 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB

Cagliari 1-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1-0
AWAY Modena
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari nicked a narrow win over Modena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cagliari as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cagliari and 1.00 for Modena.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Modena?

Cagliari 1-0 Modena in the Friendlies on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 52%, draw 23%, Modena 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cagliari) ✓ Under 2.5
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