Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jul 2026

Sparta Rotterdam
1-1 HT 0-1
Asteras Tripolis
📅28/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 32% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sparta Rotterdam v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.54/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.14
-9% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam and Asteras Tripolis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Asteras Tripolis?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Friendlies on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 45%, draw 29%, Asteras Tripolis 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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