Fleetwood Town 1-1 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jul 2026

📅28/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
9.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 31% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-10.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 62%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.53/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/0.82
+31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.82 xG 1.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
227 Passes 399
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İNTK
29.12.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
15.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-1 HT 3-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
29.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
19.11.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
30.04.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 4-2 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town and Bolton Wanderers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bolton Wanderers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fleetwood Town and 2.50 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Bolton Wanderers in the Friendlies on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 27%, draw 24%, Bolton Wanderers 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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