Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
29%
2.93
6+ Goals
13%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 20%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.14/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.84
+29% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
15.3 Crosses 15.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 225
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
15.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-1 HT 3-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
29.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
19.11.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
30.04.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 4-2 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
07.12.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.97 xG 0.97
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
623 Passes 304
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers squeezed past Fleetwood Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 64% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 36%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.97 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.17 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Fleetwood Town?

Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 57%, draw 25%, Fleetwood Town 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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