Northampton Town vs Burton Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northampton Town v Burton Albion — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
0-2
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
1-3
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN1
2-4
HT 1-3
Northampton Town
FAK
Northampton Town 2-5 Burton Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Burton Albion cruised past Northampton Town 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Burton Albion as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Northampton Town had 36% of the ball to Burton Albion's 64%, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 0.57 to 3.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Northampton Town and 0.83 for Burton Albion.
What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?
Northampton Town 2-5 Burton Albion in the England - Futbol League Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated an Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 29%, draw 25%, Burton Albion 47%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burton Albion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.