Notts County vs Leicester City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Notts County v Leicester City U21 — Team-Based Signals
Notts County 1-0 Leicester City U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County edged past Leicester City U21 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Notts County had 40% of the ball to Leicester City U21's 60%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.33 to 1.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leicester City U21.
What was the final score of Notts County vs Leicester City U21?
Notts County 1-0 Leicester City U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Notts County vs Leicester City U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Notts County 41%, draw 28%, Leicester City U21 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.