Milton Keynes Dons 1-3 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 54%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.74/3.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.27
-46% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.52 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
552 Passes 201
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
9 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İNTK
11.08.2015 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNLK
18.04.2015 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 6-1 HT 4-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
18.10.2014 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
03.05.2014 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-3 HT 0-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
12.10.2013 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
1-3
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.05 xG 3.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
380 Passes 221
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient saw off Milton Keynes Dons 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 61% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 39%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.05 to 3.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.17 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Leyton Orient?

Milton Keynes Dons 1-3 Leyton Orient in the England - Futbol League Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 28%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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