Reading 3-0 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.91
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
10%
5.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-16.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 17%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.82/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.06
+107% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.0 Crosses 18.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newport County
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
12.08.2014 Reading Reading 3-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
3-0
AWAY Newport County
4.47 xG 0.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
456 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
62 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Reading vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading cruised past Newport County 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Reading as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Reading had 59% of the ball to Newport County's 41%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 4.47 to 0.47.

What was the final score of Reading vs Newport County?

Reading 3-0 Newport County in the England - Futbol League Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Reading 52%, draw 23%, Newport County 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reading) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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