Stevenage vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stevenage v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Stevenage vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Gillingham
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Stevenage
İN2
3-0
HT 2-0
Gillingham
FAK
0-1
HT 0-1
Gillingham
İNTK
3-1
HT 2-0
Gillingham
İN1
3-2
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İN1
Stevenage 1-1 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Stevenage and Gillingham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Stevenage had 46% of the ball to Gillingham's 54%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.69 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stevenage and 1.00 for Gillingham.
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Gillingham?
Stevenage 1-1 Gillingham in the England - Futbol League Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Gillingham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 48%, draw 26%, Gillingham 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stevenage), BTTS No went the other way.