Moreton City Excelsior vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moreton City Excelsior v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Moreton City Excelsior 3-2 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Moreton City Excelsior edged past Perth Glory 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Perth Glory at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Moreton City Excelsior had 53% of the ball to Perth Glory's 47%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.74 to 0.57.
What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Perth Glory?
Moreton City Excelsior 3-2 Perth Glory in the Australia - FFA Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated an Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 21%, draw 23%, Perth Glory 56%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory) went the other way.