NWS Spirit vs Melbourne Victory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NWS Spirit v Melbourne Victory — Team-Based Signals
NWS Spirit 0-4 Melbourne Victory — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory cruised past NWS Spirit 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Victory as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
On the day, NWS Spirit had 38% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 62%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.16 to 2.12.
What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Melbourne Victory?
NWS Spirit 0-4 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - FFA Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Melbourne Victory?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 23%, draw 16%, Melbourne Victory 61%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.