Oakleigh Cannons 1-1 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - FFA Cup, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakleigh Cannons
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Heidelberg United
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.37 xG 2.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
310 Passes 256
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-0 HT 2-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
16.02.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
09.06.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 5-1 HT 3-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
10.03.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-5 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
26.08.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-3 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
13.06.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-3 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakleigh Cannons
1-1
AWAY Heidelberg United
1.56 xG 1.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
463 Passes 542
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 23
34 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oakleigh Cannons vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons and Heidelberg United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oakleigh Cannons at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oakleigh Cannons had 48% of the ball to Heidelberg United's 52%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.56 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Oakleigh Cannons and 1.33 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of Oakleigh Cannons vs Heidelberg United?

Oakleigh Cannons 1-1 Heidelberg United in the Australia - FFA Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakleigh Cannons vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oakleigh Cannons 44%, draw 22%, Heidelberg United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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