Coritiba vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Avai
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
Coritiba 1-0 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba edged past Avai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Coritiba had 47% of the ball to Avai's 53%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.02 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coritiba and 0.67 for Avai.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Avai?
Coritiba 1-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 49%, draw 29%, Avai 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.