Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Porteno v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Porteno
PAR
1-1
HT 1-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
2-1
HT 1-0
Cerro Porteno
PAR
4-1
HT 2-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
Cerro Porteno 2-1 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno edged past Nacional Asuncion 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro Porteno had 61% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 39%, shots finished 10-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.83 for Nacional Asuncion.
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteno 2-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 45%, draw 30%, Nacional Asuncion 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.