Al Wehda 2-1 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
14%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.58/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.50
+11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Orubah
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.33 xG 0.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
289 Passes 271
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
23.05.2022 Al Wehda Al Wehda 5-1 HT 2-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
05.01.2022 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
2-1
AWAY Al Orubah
1.73 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
346 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda edged past Al Orubah 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Wehda as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Wehda had 53% of the ball to Al Orubah's 47%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.73 to 0.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Wehda's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Wehda had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Wehda and 0.33 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Orubah?

Al Wehda 2-1 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wehda win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 43%, draw 27%, Al Orubah 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wehda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Wehda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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