Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.47
Draw
33%
4.08
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 33% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
64%
-22.4pp
32%
Draw
21%
+11.1pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.58/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.17
-10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 80%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
24.3 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 298
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
02.12.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.03 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
351 Passes 387
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq squeezed past Al Akhdoud 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ettifaq as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 49% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 51%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.03 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.00 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 41%, draw 32%, Al Akhdoud 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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