Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hilal Riyadh v Damac FC — Team-Based Signals
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
2-2
HT 1-0
Damac FC
SUUD
2-4
HT 2-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
2-0
HT 0-0
Damac FC
SUUD
Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 Damac FC — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Damac FC 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 67% of the ball to Damac FC's 33%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.48 to 1.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.00 for Damac FC.
What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC?
Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 62%, draw 20%, Damac FC 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.