Forward Madison vs Texoma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Forward Madison v Texoma — Team-Based Signals
Forward Madison vs Texoma Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Forward Madison 3-0 Texoma — Actual Match Statistics
Forward Madison made light work of Texoma 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.84, roughly 54%.
The match data tells the story: Texoma saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.63 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Texoma led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Forward Madison against 1.50 for Texoma.
Forward Madison vs Texoma Result & Final Score
Forward Madison 3-0 Texoma in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Forward Madison vs Texoma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 58%, draw 23%, Texoma 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.