Örebro 1-0 Landskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.11
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.02
X/2
13%
6.41
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.38
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Landskrona EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +22%
1.51/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.37
+3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Landskrona
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Landskrona Landskrona 0-0 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
04.11.2023 Örebro Örebro 4-0 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
20.05.2023 Landskrona Landskrona 3-2 HT 2-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
04.03.2023 Landskrona Landskrona 0-2 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇK
29.10.2022 Örebro Örebro 2-2 HT 2-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
27.06.2022 Landskrona Landskrona 2-1 HT 1-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Landskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro edged past Landskrona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Örebro as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Örebro and 1.17 for Landskrona.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Landskrona?

Örebro 1-0 Landskrona in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Landskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Örebro 41%, draw 28%, Landskrona 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örebro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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